| ACC Power Ratings Through Conference Tournament Semifinals [message #876037] |
Sun, 12 March 2006 02:55 |
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Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
the conference tournament semifinals. The
first rating takes margin of victory fully
into account, while the third rating ignores
it completely, looking only at wins and losses.
The second rating is like the first rating,
except it weighs close games, upsets and games
between closely-matched teams more heavily than
blow-outs of overmatched teams. The third
rating only considers wins and losses.
Rating One
Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 81.4 1)82.9 8)-1.5 2)81.4
2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 81.1 2)80.3 5) 0.8 1)81.6
3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 74.5 8)71.2 2) 3.3 3)73.9
4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 73.8 3)75.1 7)-1.2 4)73.8
5)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 73.3 10)68.9 1) 4.4 5)73.3
6)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 72.5 4)74.8 10)-2.3 6)72.5
7)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 70.9 7)71.5 6)-0.6 7)70.9
8)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 69.8 11)67.4 3) 2.4 8)69.8
9)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 69.7 5)72.7 12)-3.1 9)69.7
10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 69.3 6)71.9 11)-2.6 10)69.2
11)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 68.5 12)66.2 4) 2.3 11)68.6
12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 67.5 9)69.4 9)-1.9 12)67.4
Home Court Advantage: 3.6 (3.6)
Rating Two
Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 80.0 1)82.9 11)-2.9 1)79.9
2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 79.3 2)79.9 5)-0.6 2)79.7
3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 74.3 8)71.1 3) 3.2 4)73.8
4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 74.0 3)75.5 8)-1.5 3)73.9
5)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 73.1 10)68.5 1) 4.6 5)73.0
6)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 72.6 4)75.1 10)-2.5 6)72.6
7)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 71.3 6)72.3 7)-1.0 7)71.2
8)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 70.8 5)74.0 12)-3.2 8)70.7
9)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 70.3 12)66.5 2) 3.8 9)70.3
10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 70.2 7)72.0 9)-1.8 10)70.2
11)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 70.1 11)67.4 4) 2.7 11)70.0
12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 68.0 9)68.8 6)-0.8 12)67.9
Home Court Advantage: 2.8 (2.8)
Rating Three
Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 86.0 1)85.9
2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 80.7 2)81.9
3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 79.2 3)78.0
4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 74.7 4)74.7
5)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 73.00 5)73.0
6)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 72.97 6)72.9
7)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 72.1 7)72.1
8)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 70.5 8)70.5
9)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 68.5 9)68.5
10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 66.0 10)66.0
11)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 64.7 11)64.6
12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 64.0 12)63.9
Home Court Advantage: 4.6 (4.6)
Recent Games
Saturday, March 11th
Wake Forest vs Duke
Rating1: Wake 74 Duke 87
Rating2: Wake 76 Duke 85
Rating3: Duke by ~20
Result: Wake 66 Duke 78
Boston College vs UNC
Rating1: BC 69 UNC 76
Rating2: BC 70 UNC 76
Rating3: UNC by ~4
Result: BC 85 UNC 82
Records (RMS), Tournament and Cumulative
Rating1: 6-4 (11.0), 50-33 (11.4)
Rating2: 6-4 (10.2), 50-33 (11.2)
Rating3: 7-3 (12.2), 54-29 (14.7)
Upcoming Games
Sunday, March 12th
BC vs Duke
Rating1: BC 73 Duke 80
Rating2: BC 74 Duke 80
Rating3: Duke by ~7
--
"I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar." -Wash, 'Serenity'
George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'
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| Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Conference Tournament Semifinals [message #876039 ] |
Sun, 12 March 2006 03:26 |
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"We're number 10! We're number 10!"
George W Harris wrote:
> Below are power ratings for ACC men's
> basketball games considering only the scores
> of games between conference members through
> the conference tournament semifinals. The
> first rating takes margin of victory fully
> into account, while the third rating ignores
> it completely, looking only at wins and losses.
> The second rating is like the first rating,
> except it weighs close games, upsets and games
> between closely-matched teams more heavily than
> blow-outs of overmatched teams. The third
> rating only considers wins and losses.
>
> Rating One
>
> Record
> Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
> 1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 81.4 1)82.9 8)-1.5 2)81.4
> 2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 81.1 2)80.3 5) 0.8 1)81.6
> 3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 74.5 8)71.2 2) 3.3 3)73.9
> 4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 73.8 3)75.1 7)-1.2 4)73.8
> 5)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 73.3 10)68.9 1) 4.4 5)73.3
> 6)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 72.5 4)74.8 10)-2.3 6)72.5
> 7)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 70.9 7)71.5 6)-0.6 7)70.9
> 8)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 69.8 11)67.4 3) 2.4 8)69.8
> 9)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 69.7 5)72.7 12)-3.1 9)69.7
> 10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 69.3 6)71.9 11)-2.6 10)69.2
> 11)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 68.5 12)66.2 4) 2.3 11)68.6
> 12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 67.5 9)69.4 9)-1.9 12)67.4
>
> Home Court Advantage: 3.6 (3.6)
>
> Rating Two
>
> Record
> Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
> 1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 80.0 1)82.9 11)-2.9 1)79.9
> 2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 79.3 2)79.9 5)-0.6 2)79.7
> 3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 74.3 8)71.1 3) 3.2 4)73.8
> 4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 74.0 3)75.5 8)-1.5 3)73.9
> 5)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 73.1 10)68.5 1) 4.6 5)73.0
> 6)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 72.6 4)75.1 10)-2.5 6)72.6
> 7)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 71.3 6)72.3 7)-1.0 7)71.2
> 8)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 70.8 5)74.0 12)-3.2 8)70.7
> 9)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 70.3 12)66.5 2) 3.8 9)70.3
> 10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 70.2 7)72.0 9)-1.8 10)70.2
> 11)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 70.1 11)67.4 4) 2.7 11)70.0
> 12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 68.0 9)68.8 6)-0.8 12)67.9
>
> Home Court Advantage: 2.8 (2.8)
>
> Rating Three
>
> Record
> Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
> 1)Duke 16-2 7-1 29-3 86.0 1)85.9
> 2)UNC 13-5 7-3 22-7 80.7 2)81.9
> 3)BC 13-5 5-2 26-6 79.2 3)78.0
> 4)NCSU 10-7 4-2 21-9 74.7 4)74.7
> 5)FSU 9-8 3-2 19-8 73.00 5)73.0
> 6)Maryland 9-9 2-2 19-12 72.97 6)72.9
> 7)Miami 8-10 3-4 16-15 72.1 7)72.1
> 8)Virginia 8-10 1-2 15-14 70.5 8)70.5
> 9)Clemson 7-10 2-3 18-12 68.5 9)68.5
> 10)Wake 5-14 0-5 17-16 66.0 10)66.0
> 11)Va Tech 4-13 2-6 13-16 64.7 11)64.6
> 12)Ga Tech 4-13 0-4 11-17 64.0 12)63.9
>
> Home Court Advantage: 4.6 (4.6)
>
> Recent Games
>
> Saturday, March 11th
> Wake Forest vs Duke
> Rating1: Wake 74 Duke 87
> Rating2: Wake 76 Duke 85
> Rating3: Duke by ~20
> Result: Wake 66 Duke 78
> Boston College vs UNC
> Rating1: BC 69 UNC 76
> Rating2: BC 70 UNC 76
> Rating3: UNC by ~4
> Result: BC 85 UNC 82
>
> Records (RMS), Tournament and Cumulative
>
> Rating1: 6-4 (11.0), 50-33 (11.4)
> Rating2: 6-4 (10.2), 50-33 (11.2)
> Rating3: 7-3 (12.2), 54-29 (14.7)
>
> Upcoming Games
>
> Sunday, March 12th
> BC vs Duke
> Rating1: BC 73 Duke 80
> Rating2: BC 74 Duke 80
> Rating3: Duke by ~7
>
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