| Big Ten Standings (2006/03/06) [message #876009] |
Sat, 11 March 2006 19:55 |
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Big Ten standings as of 2006/03/06 (Final)
Conference AW Overall Last Last
Team W L Pct Home Away HL W L Pct Strk 5 10
1. Ohio State 12 4 0.750 7 1 5 3 +4 23 4 0.852 W 5 5-0 9-1
2. Illinois 11 5 0.688 7 1 4 4 +3 25 5 0.833 W 3 4-1 7-3
Iowa 11 5 0.688 8 0 3 5 +3 22 8 0.733 W 2 3-2 7-3
4. Wisconsin 9 7 0.562 7 1 2 6 +1 19 10 0.655 L 2 2-3 4-6
Indiana 9 7 0.562 7 1 2 6 +1 17 10 0.630 W 4 4-1 5-5
6. Michigan 8 8 0.500 6 2 2 6 0 18 9 0.667 L 2 2-3 4-6
Michigan State 8 8 0.500 6 2 2 6 0 20 10 0.667 L 1 2-3 5-5
8. Penn State 6 10 0.375 3 5 3 5 -2 14 13 0.519 L 1 3-2 4-6
Northwestern 6 10 0.375 4 4 2 6 -2 14 14 0.500 W 1 2-3 4-6
10. Minnesota 5 11 0.312 4 4 1 7 -3 14 13 0.519 L 3 2-3 5-5
11. Purdue 3 13 0.188 3 5 0 8 -5 9 18 0.333 L 4 1-4 2-8
Head-to-head results
(X indicates no such game)
Home Away
Team IL IN IA MI MS MN NW OS PS PU WI IL IN IA MI MS MN NW OS PS PU WI
IL - W W W W W W X L W X - L L L W W W L X X W
IN W - L W W X W W W W X L - L W L L X X L W L
IA W W - W W W X W W X W L W - X L L L X W W L
MI W L X - W W W L X W W L L L - L W X L W L X
MS L W W W - X X L W W W L L L L - L W W X X L
MN L W W L W - L X X W L L X L L X - L L W L L
NW L X W X L W - L L W W L L X L X W - L L W L
OS W X X W L W W - W W W X L L W W X W - W W L
PS X W L L X L W L - W L W L L X L X W L - W L
PU X L L W X W L L L - W L L X L L L L L L - X
WI L W W X W W W W W X - X X L L L W L L W L -
Team IL IN IA MI MS MN NW OS PS PU WI IL IN IA MI MS MN NW OS PS PU WI
Big Ten results from 2006/02/20 through 2006/03/06
(upper case indicates home team)
02/21 MICHIGAN 72, Illinois 64
02/22 INDIANA 69, Penn State 65
Ohio State 79, MICHIGAN STATE 68
MINNESOTA 62, Purdue 50
02/23 NORTHWESTERN 62, Wisconsin 51
02/25 ILLINOIS 71, Iowa 59
OHIO STATE 64, Michigan 54
PENN STATE 68, Northwestern 55
02/26 INDIANA 78, Michigan State 71
WISCONSIN 80, Minnesota 74
02/28 Illinois 71, MINNESOTA 65
03/01 Indiana 70, PURDUE 59
IOWA 65, Penn State 38
Ohio State 56, NORTHWESTERN 53
03/02 MICHIGAN STATE 74, Wisconsin 65
03/04 Illinois 75, MICHIGAN STATE 68
Indiana 69, MICHIGAN 67
IOWA 59, Wisconsin 44
NORTHWESTERN 57, Minnesota 53
03/05 OHIO STATE 76, Purdue 57
A look at the teams each team has played so far:
Michigan State 140-116 21-43 50-14
Penn State 132-124 17-47 49-15
Minnesota 131-125 17-47 45-19
Purdue 131-125 20-44 44-20
Michigan 128-128 18-46 45-19
Northwestern 128-128 20-44 44-20
Wisconsin 127-129 22-42 41-23
Indiana 126-130 21-43 44-20
Iowa 125-131 21-43 41-23
Illinois 124-132 15-49 49-15
Ohio State 116-140 16-48 44-20
Columns:
1. Total record of teams they've played
2. Away record of teams they've played at home
3. Home record of teams they've played away
A look at the teams each team plays only once:
Michigan State 20-44 3-13 6-10
Iowa 29-35 2-14 13-3
Illinois 30-34 7-9 6-10
Wisconsin 31-33 2-14 14-2
Indiana 32-32 3-13 11-5
Michigan 32-32 6-10 11-5
Penn State 32-32 6-10 10-6
Minnesota 35-29 8-8 13-3
Northwestern 36-28 4-12 14-2
Ohio State 36-28 5-11 11-5
Purdue 39-25 6-10 15-1
Columns:
1. Total record of teams they don't play
2. Away record of teams they don't play at home
3. Home record of teams they don't play away
--
Milt Epstein
mepstein [at] uiuc.edu
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| Re: Big Ten Standings (2006/03/06) [message #876011 ] |
Sat, 11 March 2006 19:56 |
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Big Ten Results/Schedule Analysis
Proj Act
Team W-L W-L CT CH CA PT PH PA CT CH CA PT PH PA +/-
The Contenders:
OS 12-4 12-4 9 4 5 7 4 3 5-4 3-1 2-3 7-0 4-0 3-0 +1
IA 11-5 11-5 10 6 4 6 2 4 7-3 6-0 1-3 4-2 2-0 2-2 -1
IL 11-5 11-5 10 4 6 6 4 2 6-4 4-0 2-4 5-1 3-1 2-0 +1
IN 9-7 9-7 10 5 5 6 3 3 5-5 4-1 1-4 4-2 3-0 1-2 -2
WI 9-7 9-7 9 5 4 7 3 4 4-5 4-1 0-4 5-2 3-0 2-2 -3
MI 8-8 8-8 10 5 5 6 3 3 3-7 3-2 0-5 5-1 3-0 2-1 -3
MS 8-8 8-8 12 6 6 4 2 2 5-7 4-2 1-5 3-1 2-0 1-1 -2
The Pretenders:
NW 6-10 6-10 10 5 5 6 3 3 2-8 2-3 0-5 4-2 2-1 2-1 +3
PS 6-10 6-10 11 5 6 5 3 2 2-9 1-4 1-5 4-1 2-1 2-0 +3
MN 5-11 5-11 11 6 5 5 2 3 3-8 3-3 0-5 2-3 1-1 1-2 +3
PU 3-13 3-13 10 5 5 6 3 3 2-8 2-3 0-5 1-5 1-2 0-3 0
Contenders vs. contenders unexpected results:
*IA* at IN
*IL* at MS
*IL* at WI
*IN* at MI
*MS* at OS
*OS* at MI
*OS* at MS
Contenders vs. pretenders unexpected results:
*PS* at IL
IA at *MN*
IA at *NW*
IN at *MN*
IN at *PS*
MI at *PU*
MS at *MN*
WI at *NW*
WI at *PU*
Pretenders vs. pretenders unexpected results:
*MN* at PS
*NW* at MN
*NW* at PU
*PS* at NW
*PS* at PU
Key:
C: Contenders P: Pretenders
H: Home A: Away
W: Win L: Loss
+/-: How they've done vs. the expected results
for contenders, this is equal to CAW - (CHL + PL)
for pretenders, this is equal to (PAW + CW) - PHL
This data is based on the following premises:
1. There are seven strong teams ("the contenders") in the Big Ten this
year, any of which are capable of winning the conference title.
(The remaining four teams are referred to as "the pretenders".)
2. The expected results of games are as follows:
a. When two contenders or two pretenders play, the home team will win.
b. When a contender and a pretender play, the contender will win.
3. Based on 2, we can project the final records/standings.
4. Based on 2, the following factors will determine which of the
contenders wins the title:
a. How many away games against other contenders they play (CA)
b. How many "exceptions" they have vs. the expected results.
There is one possible "positive" exception category:
Winning away games against other contenders (CAW)
There are two possible "negative" exception categories:
Losing home games against other contenders (CHL)
Losing games against pretenders (PL)
The data above shows everything that follows from these premises. The
first several columns show how many games each team plays in each category;
the last several columns shows each team's record in each category.
--
Milt Epstein
mepstein [at] uiuc.edu
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